Friday, November 02, 2007

Week 10 - Big 12 Rankings and Predictions

As we move into the home stretch with three or four games to go, here is how the Big 12 stacks up (last week) (overall record/Big 12 record):

1. Missouri (1) (7-1/3-1). Though Missouri had a bit of a hiccup against Iowa State last week, winning by only 14, Missouri still has the best team in the Big 12, at least as of now. This week will be telling though, as Missouri lost all-conference caliber safety Cornelius "Pig" Brown to injury. Missouri's defense has issues enough without their leader being gone for the season.

2. Kansas (2) (8-0/4-0). Kansas has impressively come through and won three road games this season, the most recent victory at Kyle Field, taking down Texas A&M. KU is not flashy, but rather is assignment sound and methodical.

3. Oklahoma (3) (7-1/3-1). After an off week, Oklahoma will be prepared to make Dennis Franchione and Texas A&M pay for a snide remark about OU's pay for play scandal.

4. Kansas State (4) (5-3) (3-2). Kansas State took the first half off versus Baylor, the won going away 51-13. Kansas State has the conference's most prolific offense in Big 12 play.

5. Oklahoma State (6) (5-3/3-1). Oklahoma State had the weekend off and looks to get a win versus Texas this week.

6. Texas (5) (7-2/3-2). The Longhorns looked to be an upset victim for the second time at home this season, trailing Nebraska for much of the day before erupting in the 4th quarter. Jamal Charles led the way with a record setting 216 yards in that quarter to lead Texas to victory.

7. Colorado (9) (5-4/3-2). The Buffaloes pulled off the upset in Lubbock, taking down the Red Raiders while intercepting Graham Harrell four times. Colorado finishes the season 3-0 versus the vaunted Big 12 South.

8. Texas Tech (7) (6-3/2-3). Texas Tech suffers another meltdown, this time versus Colorado. Once again, when faced with conference play, the Red Raiders show they are more pretender than contender.

9. Texas A&M (8) (6-3/3-2). A&M is controlled by the disciplined Jayhawks. The Aggies will not win again this season.

10. Nebraska (10) (4-5/1-4). The Cornhuskers made a valient effort versus Texas, but are mired in 10th place and are likely to stay there. Say goodbye, Bill Callahan.

11. Iowa State (11) (1-8/0-5). Bonus points for playing Missouri within 14. The Bataan Death March continues with Kansas State invading Ames this weekend. It might be ISU's last chance for victory this season.

12. Baylor (12) (3-6/0-5). KSU played awful versus Baylor in the first half, yet led 16-6 and ended up crushing the Bears 51-13. Not good.

Predictions
(last week 3-2 straight up, 2-3 ATS)

Nebraska at Kansas (-20). That almost seems like it must be a misprint, but it isn't. Kansas is perfect versus the spread this year, and Nebraska is awful against the spread. It looks like this week with Nebraska QB Sam Keller out, people have jumped on the Jayhawk bandwagon. Don't count me in. Now, don't get me wrong, I think KU will win, but not by that much. Every team with approximately equal talent, KU has played close this year and won. This game will be no different.

Kansas State at Iowa State (+15.5). Iowa State has a lot of pride and are starting to buy into Gene Chizik's system. For the second home game in a row, Iowa State as a heavy underdog plays the visiting team close but loses.

Missouri at Colorado (+3.5). Colorado played KU tough and beat Oklahoma at home. The team has steadily improved throughout the year, and Missouri will sorely miss Pig Brown. In a relatively high scoring affair, Colorado gets a late turnover to seal the victory.

Texas A&M at Oklahoma (-21). Texas A&M couldn't run versus Miami (FL), Texas Tech, or Kansas. They won't be able to run versus OU either. Bob Stoops is a bit angry and beats the Aggies soundly.

Texas at Oklahoma State (+3). The Cowboys had a week to prepare, and Texas has been overrated all year. OSU finally gets a win in the series.

Texas Tech at Baylor (+20.5). Baylor is awful. Texas Tech isn't very good. Baylor doesn't get turnovers, so they won't have that advantage. The Bears get rolled.